Product · Promising

Promising

Turn a real order into a dated fulfilment plan — tranches by quantity, source, date and reliability — plus the supply orders to emit. Preview, refine, commit.

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Fulfilment plan · proposed

SO-48213 · 1 300 u · requested 21 Nov

On time
Likely 18 Nov range 16–21 Nov

600 u confirmed · 400 u scheduled · 300 u estimated

Tranche Source Date Reliability
T1 · 600 uLyon DC, on hand2026-11-13Confirmed
T2 · 400 uRotterdam, PO-77312026-11-16Scheduled
T3 · 300 uBrno supplier, lead-time stats2026-11-18 (16–21)Estimated

Supply order to emit

PO · 300 u · Brno · order by 2026-11-04

Fictional order, for illustration.

Adjust Commit plan

Reliability

Three tiers, read without colour.

Each tranche carries a tier. Pattern, shape and word say the same thing, so the plan reads in greyscale print and for every kind of colour vision.

Confirmed

On hand, or a date the supplier has confirmed.

Scheduled

A planned receipt with a date, not yet confirmed.

Estimated

Derived from lead-time statistics, shown with its range.

Provenance

Every date shows its parents.

The likely date is derived from stock on hand, open purchase orders and supplier lead-time statistics. Planners see each source and how much it contributes before they commit.

Lineage

Why 18 Nov

ERP stock snapshot, 06:00 UTC PO-7731, Rotterdam Lead-time stats, Brno 600 u on hand 400 u ETA 16 Nov 9–12 d lead time, P10–P90 18 Nov likely · range 16–21 Nov
Select any figure in Provisor to see its sources. Fictional data.

Compare

Options side by side, on the same axis.

Option B ships 2 days earlier and costs €310 more. You choose.

Option Likely date Range Reliability mix Extra cost Status
A · Lyon, Rotterdam, Brno 2026-11-18 16–21 Nov 600 C · 400 S · 300 E €0 On time
B · Lyon, expedite Rotterdam 2026-11-16 15–17 Nov 600 C · 700 S +€310 On time
C · Lyon only 2026-11-13 13 Nov 600 C €0 Short 700 u

C = confirmed, S = scheduled, E = estimated. Fictional order SO-48213, 1 300 u requested for 21 Nov.

How it works

Preview, refine, commit.

Provisor proposes a plan when an order is entered or changed. A planner refines a source, a date or a quantity, and commits. Only then does Provisor emit the supply orders, as drafts in your org.

How Provisor maps to your org

Confidence band

Projected stock on hand, next 12 weeks

SKU 40-118 · Lyon DC
1 500 1 000 500 0 u Reorder point 820 u Safety stock 210 u 1 300 u Today W3 W6 W9 W12 P90 P50 P10
Median with P10–P90 range. The range widens as lead-time variance accumulates. Derived from 26 weeks of demand and 14 supplier receipts.

Promise orders you can keep.

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